Online Options Trading – Portfolio Measures and Trade Performance Metrics

 Option Trading  No Responses »
Nov 302009
 

The Reward of Profit and the Risk of Losses for retail option trading needs to be managed at 2 related levels of performance: Portfolio and Trade Specific.At the Portfolio level for online options trading, there are 3 types of Targets that must be set, even before you trade.Maximum Return Target: complete achievement of the “ideal” measure. Dream of the “ideal” that stretches you beyond what is practical. For example, earn 2-3 times your monthly living expenses with the monthly trading profit. This is to stretch your imagination well beyond mediocrity. Even if you fail, you just might end up with more than your original target.Minimum Return Target: the lowest acceptable measure, achievable under most conditions, excluding a catastrophic market event. Use the historical annualized return of the S&P 500 between 10%-12% (prior to the 2008 financial pandemic), as the lowest acceptable boundary.  The S&P 500 being a widely accepted benchmark for trading equities is adequate to base the minimum target off, though your portfolio needs to be profitable – being ahead of the $SPX in negative territory does not count.  Below the historical annualized return range of 10%–12%, is the 3 Month T-Bill, presently near zero.  While the T-bill theoretically represents an “absolutely” zero risk investment, even the safest investments will still carry a residual amount of risk no matter how small that risk is.  The point is this.  You got into options and all that Greek terminology, not to make salads; but to beat the performance of equities as an asset class.  If your portfolio’s return is between what is near zero-risk and 10%–12% per annum, you are just delaying reaching a point of pain that marks failure in grasping the base-line ability to control risks.  If the returns of your portfolio are between 0%–12% and you plan to continue trading options, processes within your trading process will need to be re–engineered.”Halt Trade” Target: cumulative losses reach an absolute amount below the Minimum Return, making it necessary to stop trading altogether for a stated period.  10% of [(60% x Cash Balance at the start of the year); or Net Liquidating Value].  Example, for a $50,000 trading account, 10% x (60% x $50,000) = $3,000 of losses in total, is the absolute amount to halt trading.  Why 10%? Blowing up your self-funded capital is final.  There is no bail out package, as a home options trading business does not have access to bank loans; or, shareholders’ equity to finance your personal trades.Now, drilling down to Trade Specific performance measures.Even before you calculate the metrics, characteristically, what makes for a consistently managed portfolio are these traits:

Where can I see this step up function in a consistently profitable portfolio, with these portfolio measures and trade performance metrics? Follow the link below, entitled “Consistent Results” to see a model retail option trader’s portfolio that shows these traits.Moving onto the hard metrics.  There’s 2 ways to count the Return on your trading capital.

In both cases, you can minus the Total Cost of Commissions from Total Profit, to get a Total Net Profit number.  The, divide the Total Net Profit by the Start of Year Cash Balance; or, Net Liquidating Value.  Net Liquidating Value is how much your entire trading account is worth, which is equal to Total Cash + Options Value + Stocks Value + Commodities Value + Bonds Value. The Start of Year Cash Balance is straightforward – it is the money in the account at the beginning of that trading year. Cash increases when you are short securities; but, cash decreases, as you get long on securities.To review your performance, calculate these metrics using the Profit (wins) and Loss (losers) from your account:

The Average Win divided by the Average Loss measures how RESPONSIVE you are in taking profits and cutting losses.Combine the Accuracy ratio with the Responsiveness ratio to get your Performance Ratio.Performance Ratio = (Win/Loss Probability) x (Average Win / Average Loss).  Always aim to maintain the Performance Ratio above 1.00. Why?  The commonly known money management rule is to allocate 2%-5% of (60% x Net Liquidating Value of the account) per trade.  What is not commonly practiced is the discipline of moderating a +/- 1% in trade allocation between the 2%-5% allocation.

This is how to achieve a ladder effect in stepping up profits and stepping down losses. This mechanism of stepping up/down is an indispensable tool for rewarding profit and to discipline the risk of losses.  It forces you to improve both ACCURACY and RESPONSIVENESS before raising your position size.

Where can I learn more about portfolio measures and trade performance metrics as part of a total trading system? Follow the link below, for 55 hours of video-based learning of online options trading from home.

 Posted by at 3:31 pm  Tagged with: , , , , ,

Introduction To Options Trading, Part 1

 Option Trading  No Responses »
Nov 302009
 

The study of options can expand your perceptions about the range of possibilities. Most people are familiar with two forms of investment: equity and debt. There is a third method, however, and that third method is far more interesting than the other two. Its attributes are unlike any that most people understand-and these differences can be viewed as a troubling set of problems, or as a promising set of opportunities.
Let’s begin with a brief review, laying the groundwork about the two basic ways to invest. An equity investment is the purchase of ownership in a company. The best-known example of this is the purchase of stock in publicly listed companies, whose shares are sold through the stock exchanges. Each share of stock represents a portion of the total capital, or ownership, in the company.
When you buy 100 shares of stock, you are in complete control over that investment. You decide how long to hold the shares and when to sell. Stocks provide you with tangible value, because they represent part ownership in the company. Owning stock entitles you to dividends if they are declared, and gives you the right to vote in elections offered to stockholders. (Some special nonvoting stock lacks this right.) If the stock rises in value, you will gain a profit. If you wish, you can keep the stock for many years, even for your whole life. Stocks, because they have tangible value, can be traded over public exchanges, or they can be used as collateral to borrow money.
Example
Equity for Cash: You purchase 100 shares at $27 per share, and place $2,700 plus trading fees into your account. You receive notice that the purchase has been completed. This is an equity investment, and you are a stockholder in the corporation.
The second broadly understood form is a debt investment, also called a debt instrument. This is a loan made by the investor to the company, government, or government agency, which promises to repay the loan plus interest, as a contractual obligation. The best-known form of debt instrument is the bond. Corporations, cities and states, the federal government, agencies, and subdivisions finance their operations and projects through bond issues, and investors in bonds are lenders, not stockholders. When you own a bond, you also own a tangible value, not in stock but in a contractual right with the lender. The bond issuer promises to pay you interest and to repay the amount loaned by a specific date. Like stocks, bonds can be used as collateral to borrow money. They also rise and fall in value based on the interest rate a bond pays compared to current rates in today’s market. In the event an issuer goes broke, bondholders are usually repaid before stockholders as part of their contract, so bonds have that advantage over stocks.
Example
Lending Your Money: You purchase a bond currently valued at $9,700 from the U.S. government. Although you invest your funds in the same manner as a stockholder, you have become a bondholder; this does not provide any equity interest to you. You are a lender and you own a debt instrument.
The third form of investing is less well known. Equity and debt contain a tangible value that we can grasp and visualize. Part ownership in a company or the contractual right for repayment are basic features of equity and debt investments. Not only are these tangible, but they have a specific lifespan as well. Stock ownership lasts as long as you continue to own the stock and cannot be canceled unless the company goes broke; a bond has a contractual repayment schedule and ending date. The third form of investing does not contain these features; it disappears-expires-within a short period of time. You might hesitate at the idea of investing money in a product that evaporates and men ceases to have any value. In fact, there is no tangible value at all.
So we’re talking about investing money in something with no tangible value, that will absolutely be worthless within a few months. To make this even more perplexing, imagine that the value of this intangible is certain to decline just because time passes by. To confuse the point even further, imagine that these attributes can be an advantage or a disadvantage, depending on how you decide to use these products.
These are some of the features of options. Taken alone (and out of context), these attributes certainly do not make this market seem very appealing. These attributes-lack of tangible value, worthlessness in the short term, and decline in value itself-make options seem far too risky for most people. But there are good reasons for you. Not all methods of investing in options are as risky as they might seem; some are quite conservative, because the features just mentioned can work to your advantage. In whatever way you might use options, the many strategies that can be applied make options one of the more interesting avenues for investors. The more you study options, the more you realize that they are flexible; they can be used in numerous situations and to create numerous opportunities; and, most intriguing of all, they can be either exceptionally risky or downright conservative.
Tip
Option strategies range from high-risk to extremely conservative. The risk features on one end of the spectrum work to your advantage on the other. Options provide you with a rich variety of choices.

 Posted by at 3:31 pm  Tagged with: , ,

Direct Investment in Property in Australia Through a Good Investment Loan

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Nov 302009
 

An investment property is becoming a more popular choice for those seeking to create a revenue stream and also achieve capital growth through the investment property value increasing over time. This can also be part of a strategic financial plan and should be considered by investors as part of a diversified portfolio. When considering an investment purchase you should also source the best investment loan structure for you. With any investment your investment loan can make a difference to your return. If you are negatively geared through an investment loan the cost to you of that investment loan can effectively be reduced. If you purchase wisely, once there has been capital growth in the investment property over time there is the option of using this built up equity to move into another investment property, take out another investment loan and thereby continue to further increase your investment portfolio. Aside from the traditional belief that tax advantages are the key driver for taking out an investment home loan there are many other factors to consider when purchasing an investment property. Below are some key points for your reference, by using these points as a guide in conjunction with a detailed discussion with your accountant or financial planner you will be in a better position to ensure your investment purchase and investment loan is a financially sound decision for the long term. In relation to property enquiry therefore, you should consider: * What is the infrastructure like in the area? Are there enough schools, hospitals, shopping centres, doctors and dentists, freeways or main roads? * What has the historical capital growth been in the area over the last two decades? * Is the local council planning to increase housing density or add a new road to increase traffic flow? * If you are purchasing in a new subdivision, are there more new land blocks and house and land packages planned nearby. New developments can impact on the value of your home as purchasers often prefer a new home to one that might be 2 or 3 years old in the same area. * What length of time will the investment be held? And will this tie in with planned infrastructure development which will in turn accelerate capital growth? There has been recent press to suggest that investment and home property values in Sydney have a potential capital growth of 18% over the next 3 years so buying off the plan as an investor may be an attractive option in the current market. If you find a good property development, suitable for investment, which has a completion date in say 2010 – 2011 then you can exchange contracts with either a 10% cash deposit or a deposit bond (as a guide the cost of a deposit bond of around $86500 for say settlement September 2011 will cost you approximately $9000- $9500 (significantly less than the interest you would pay over the period if you borrow $86,500 at current interest rates of 9% p.a). The general feeling is that direct investment into property as opposed to into managed property funds is a better way to go – you are in control of your investment and avoid the high management fees so often charged by share and property investment funds. Do some research on the internet to see which areas have the greatest potential for capital gains – remember if you are looking for an investment property you should invest with your head not your heart. An investment property needs to be well located to transport and other facilities so that those renting can easily access these services. When considering which investment loan would suit you best take the following into account: 1. Does the investment loan allow you to split it into a number of investment loan accounts. This is a good feature to have in an investment loan because you are positioning yourself for the future – if you use the investment property at a later date to gear into another investment purchase then you can split the account so that the investment loan portion relating to the new purchase is clearly identified. This allows you, and your accountant, to easily track the costs associated with the new purchase. 2. If you use your home property (with an existing home loan) as security for the investment loan then it is imperative that you do not mix any home loan debt with your investment loan borrowings. The ATO in Australia requires you to apportion any additional repayments to a loan where the borrowings are “mixed”. You want to apply any additional repayments to your home loan before your investment loan. You are paying your home loan off in after tax dollars – whereas you can deduct the interest you are paying on your investment loan against the income form the investment property. 3. Does the investment loan allow you to capitalise interest? It is always a good idea to include a capitalising feature as a part of your investment loan to protect you against any unexpected costs in relation to the property. It also means that instead of subsidising the investment costs and interest shortfall on your investment loan you can capitalise these and make additional repayments to your non-deductible home loan debt. 4. If you have sufficient equity in your home then you may be better to consider a 100% + costs investment loan for the investment acquisition and use any savings you intended for the investment purchase to pay down your home loan debt. If you consider all these points your investment loan will be working in your favour at all times.

 Posted by at 3:31 pm  Tagged with: , ,

Covered Calls – The Easy Way To Make Money Trading Options?

 Option Trading  No Responses »
Nov 302009
 

“Are you, nuts?! You want me to risk part of my savings trading options? This whole covered calls idea sounds like just another one of those crazy options strategies that sound great, but don’t deliver in the end.”

My pal was a normally a mild-mannered sort – very reflective, always weighing the consequences rationally before acting. In short, a logical thinker.

Imagine my dismay when that one phrase, “trading options”, triggered this unprecedented tirade. You’d think I’d insulted his family or something even worse.

After a few seconds had passed, I realized the reason for my friend’s outburst. He, like so many other investors, had only lost money trading options.

Why? Because he’d never discovered the number one option trading secret: 3 out of 4 options expire worthless. You read that correctly, when you trade options as a buyer, you have a 25% chance of making money, and a 75% chance of losing money.

This is why professional traders and investors favor the option strategy of selling options, rather than buying them, in hopes that the trade will go their way.

“Wait a minute. How can all of those options just expire worthless? I’ve seen ads for 100′s of option strategies and trading systems on the internet. They can’t all be losing money.”

I had to smirk. Now I really had him thinking. He knew that I hadn’t yet told him the big “secret behind the secret”, but he couldn’t quite put his finger on it.

“I have one word for you, my doubting friend”, I said,…”Time”. “When you become an option seller, you have time working FOR you, instead of against you. The reason is simple – as puts and calls get closer and closer to their expiration date, they lose their time value, due to “time decay”, or theta, the Greek letter that option traders use to denote the % of change in time value of an option.”

This is true of any option, no matter if you’re buying or selling call options or put options, or using a covered call strategy. It’s one of the big secrets of options investing that doesn’t get written about too often.

Because of the power of time decay, you can actually guess wrong about the direction of the market, or a stock, and you’ll still make money selling a call option or put option, as opposed to the buyers on the other side of the trade, who not only have to guess the stock’s future price movement correctly, but must do it BEFORE the option expiration date.

This helps to explain why even conservative investors use the covered call strategy, which is widely considered one of the most conservative option trading strategies around.

To sell covered calls, you must own at least 100 shares of the underlying equity, since each call contract corresponds to 100 shares of the underlying stock.

This is a tool you can use to hedge your portfolio, and lower your risk, by receiving “call premium” money, which lowers your break-even cost basis.

Selling covered calls is a short-to-mid-term option strategy you can use to double and triple your yields on new stock purchases, and/or to earn more income from your existing portfolio.

 Posted by at 4:43 am  Tagged with: , , , , , , , , ,

Benefits Of Investing In Land In Delhi, India

 Option Trading  No Responses »
Nov 302009
 

My good friend, Ajay Dabas returned from the USA in 2005, and we huddled together to identify the areas where he could invest his hard earned money. The brief was clearly to focus on three factors, on which to scale the investment strategy.

 RISK                           On a 5 year horizon, how much would each investment avenue Grow /        Stagnate / or depreciate

TERM & TERMS        Entry level pricing to be benchmarked against the stay-in period of investment over a 3-5 year window

LIQUIDITY                  How easy would it be to PROFITABLY EXIT, in parts or in whole?

Our detailed study & exercise led us to the conviction that LAND IS LESS VOLATILE compared to mutual funds, stocks, equities, Investment trusts etc. Haven’t we all experienced and witnessed the massive erosion of wealth & valuation in the past few months, on most investment instruments mentioned above?

Ajay Dabas is not one of them. He is rather happy for his strategic decision to choose land over the other mediums, as the preferred investment three years ago. As for valuations, his investments have already appreciated over 300%, and still going strong.

It would be a good idea to share the seven reasons why we feel that investing in land is the best option within real estate compared to the much more “touted & publicised options” of built up spaces in buildings.

Reason # 01      Land is an evergreen, ever-growing asset. Brick & mortar assets like buildings (mall space / office blocks) deteriorate with time, whereas LAND DOES APPRECIATE, with time. Remember, some studies confirm that the value of any commercial building becomes ‘Zero’ in 27 years. Even when the building is useless & demolished, what is left behind is LAND.

Reason # 02      Land is an asset from day one. It has very little lead time to mature from purchase to progress. For e.g. If you are an early bird buyer for a residential or commercial property, it typically takes 3-5 years for your asset to be registered in your name, and to draw returns from them. One keeps investing money & time for 3-5 years, without returns. Land can be registered immediately, and can start delivering returns.

Reason # 03      Land is one asset which affords the most flexible options, within the real estate products.  You can choose to buy any size & dimension, any value, anytime. Besides, land can be put to multiple use during the period of ownership. Let me elaborate. Agricultural land if invested into; can be used for farming. Post zoning, land use can be changed and commercially used. Anything build on it can be redeveloped, for e.g. the same piece of land could end up being used as warehouse premise, commercial, residential, etc. etc.

Reason # 04      Land affords simple investment management. Once bought, it doesn’t incur high costs compared to built-up products. It is most likely that the land bought is self sufficient in deriving the maintenance cost, whereas, the other products attract a continually incremental maintenance.

Reason # 05      if we analyze the supply Vs demand for real estate products in our country, land as a commodity would remain in demand for the next couple of decades. There is an acute demand for finished products, which would have to be constructed on LAND.  Hence, investments in LAND are bound to grow, provided the buying strategy is right. For e.g: Delhi as a city state is forecasted to grow from 136 lakhs to 240 lakhs of population in the next decade. That necessitates almost another few thousands of hectares to be brought under development. Hence, invest in land today, rather than wait for appreciation at a much later date; at much lower returns.

Reason # 06      With the economy projected to grow at a fast rate, and with disposable incomes being higher, aspiration of green living, bigger houses, better amenities, affordable luxuries etc. would take over. Those can be achieved on bigger land chunks being brought under development. Hence, invest in land today.

Reason # 07      Land affords the “right balance in your real estate portfolio”. While investing in real estate, one needs to have a right product mix to hedge the risk, with one or two products which are low on risk and high on returns. That is what land promises to be.

Having said the above, we also advise our clients to exercise the right amount of caution and source expertise while buying land. Seek out experts rather than take the ‘gut-feel-approach’. Analyze-understand-replicate success stories in land as a portfolio rather than try to re-write a success story. Remember, all leading developers in our country grew at this  scorching pace on valuations, using land as the growth engine.

HAPPY LAND-ing!!!!!!!!!!

The author is the founding Partner of CERTES REALTY LIMITED, a Delhi NCR based Real estate advisory and land consolidation organization and can be contacted on connect@ramesh-menon.com

 Posted by at 4:43 am  Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Forex Options Trading – in the World of Forex Trading

 Option Trading  No Responses »
Nov 292009
 

In the Forex World, Forex is the largest financial Foreign Exchange market in the world. Different from others market like stocks or commodity, The Forex open 24hours, Monday to Friday 24/5 weekly. And it has an average of 3.2 Trillions trade everyday. As for now, it is a good time to go into Forex market due to bad economy, as for the stock and commodity are bearish yet the US Dollar is bullish. This tends to lead to a very liquid market and is a desirable market to trade.

FX market does not have a fixed exchange. It is primarily traded through banks, brokers, dealers, financial institutions and private individuals. Trades are executed through phone and increasingly through the Internet. It is only in the last few years that the smaller investor has been able to gain access to this market. Previously, the large amounts of deposits required precluded the smaller investors. With the advent of the Internet and growing competition it is now easily in the reach of most investors.

With the advance system now days, you can trade Forex market with as low as US$200 with a leverage ratio of 1-200. Even with a free service of market charting information, updates and news. That’s why now days there’s more and more transaction in Forex market. Market also became very liquid also due to small investor that came in, in quantity which changes the market environment.

As you can see that person are introduced to the exciting world of Forex Trading in many ways: friends, current events, newspapers, television, and many others. For those of you who are new to Forex, the following guidelines cover the basics of currency trading. You even can start which a demo account which is a simulation of the live trading account data feed. The Broker will allow you to trial out using a simulation of $100,000 virtual money to trade live market.

In Forex Market, there’s always risk.. So a Stop-Loss is always a must in forex trading. With good strategy and discipline, you will success in Forex Trading. Trading is a mind game; you must change your mental attitude first from a normal person to that of a speculator. Almost all traders I have met, except a few successful ones who really made millions and billions trading in the market, simply waste all their time trying to learn the easiest part in perfection, like about how to read data and charts, and trying to perfect entry and exit skills, etc. Trading is a mind game and without having a right frame of mind, it is a losing game even before it starts. Training a trader’s mind is the first step for any successful trader but almost all new traders neglect that part and that explains why more than 95% of traders are a failure in the long run.

 Posted by at 3:22 pm  Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , ,

Stock Options – the Greatest Wealth Building Tool Ever Invented

 Option Trading  No Responses »
Nov 292009
 

It is a well known fact that serious investors seeking long term growth of capital have as their main objectives the two most basic goals in investing:

• to find an investment vehicle that would effectively preserve capital and minimize risk in the face of a fluctuating and constantly flexing economy

• the investment vehicle must provide better than decent yields in all economic conditions to promote constant growth of capital value.

With the stock market as the premiere choice due to its historical record of outperforming all other investments over time, people are increasingly turning to the stock market as their main investment vehicle for future capital growth. It is here where much higher rates of return can be made with a relatively small increase in risk to capital.

With thousands of books, manuals, internet sites, seminars and courses offering investment strategies and trading systems in the stock market and its derivatives, there are few, if any, that deliver the ideal investment vehicle sought by the long term investor in search of safety and high returns. Not only is there a near total absence of an ideal investment system but there are many that promise eye popping, mind boggling returns and, they are exactly that; mere promises.

Most of the trading systems offered are structured on strategies or activities that work when conditions are ideally suited to the program being peddled. Most of their successes are highly dependent on picking the right stocks at the right time. In other words you must be a good stock picker or use a stock picking service (for a high monthly fee) to select the right ones for you. Market timing is also an important factor in their systems. Again, you must be a good market timer or depend on a service that provides market timing signals (also for a high monthly fee). These supposedly high yield investment programs don’t say anything about how bad things can be when conditions go against their predictions. These programs do exactly as promised: great when the going is good but disastrous when the going is bad. Without doubt many have been taken by these so-called services and while an investor/trader may be successful for a while, the end result over a long period of time is always the same – no better than if you had done the selections yourself.

While there is no one investment system or vehicle that can be an answer-all to the various goals of various investors, there are some investment alternatives that can come close to satisfying the two basic needs of safety and decent returns. Diversified mutual funds have been touted as the answer to these basic needs. But over the years these funds have shown that during downturns in the economy they perform just as badly as the whole investment market in general. And, over the long term, many of these diversified funds have failed to even match market performance in general, much less outperform it.

Enter market derivatives with emphasis options.

Trading in stock options has become very popular with institutional investors as well as private individuals as a sound money management system supplementing their investment portfolios. The ability of stock options to give the investor a wide range of choices is what has made the options market grow considerably over the last two decades. To quote one options expert: “Stock options are the greatest wealth producing tool ever invented on this planet. . . . if you know how to use them”.

The key element of this statement is: . . . if you know how to use them.

For many people the mere mention of stock options, sends shivers up their spine. They look at options as synonymous with great risk. But isn’t driving a car very dangerous for one who doesn’t know how to drive? The ability of stock options to give the investor a wide range of choices in stock market investments is what has made the options market grow by leaps and bounds over the last twenty years. Statistics compiled by the Options Industry Council, a group that educates investors about options, show that volume in options trading has risen tremendously in recent years. Further, studies show that individual investors make up 60% of the market.

For the individual who has sufficient funds and is looking for more than a decent return on his capital and with controllable risk, stock options may be the answer.

There are dozens of option trading systems being employed by individual investors and institutions. Each system is designed to accomplish a specific investment goal. A financial institution may use long put options to hedge its winnings in stocks that have appreciated in value. Another investor may buy call options instead of stocks to enter a position in a security that has caught his fancy. Still another may sell calls against his stock holdings to generate income from his stock position, or what is popularly known as covered call writing.

Of the dozens of option trading systems there is one that can be carried out as a long term investment program offering a fair degree of safety and consistent high returns over time, thus satisfying the investor’s two basic needs of safety and return.

This is the selling of uncovered or naked options.

But wait! Is it not said that selling naked options carries the risk of unlimited losses? Isn’t this a contradiction?

Indeed selling naked options when done carelessly and without a disciplined strategic program is extremely risky!

But by using a carefully planned and disciplined system of trading, the so-called “unlimited risk” factor in selling options can easily be conquered. There is a three-pronged trading strategy being used by one successful options trader that is proving to be a consistent winner in all market conditions. It is a trading technique that couples naked option selling with a modified ratio credit spread and the use of the roll over feature. While naked option selling has acquired a bad rap of being highly risky, this three-pronged trading strategy allows the trader to defeat the risk. Not only is the system able to substantially reduce the risk, it also offers one the ability to become a savvy investor/trader without having to depend on picking the right stocks or timing the market.

It involves utilizing the system in any market condition using only one or a few stocks, ETFs or indexes (the latter two are more effective). One need not worry about finding the right stocks or timing the trades. The fact remains that stocks behave, more often than not, in crazy and irrational ways so that one can almost say that consistently choosing winning stocks is as good as a random walk down Wall Street. Rather than be proactive and try to predict and time the market, as many try to do, this three-pronged investment system is reactive. The prescribed trades are done in reaction to how the market has moved, not in anticipation of its future behavior.

This three-pronged trading system does not promise quick profits or mind boggling yields but steady annual returns in excess of 30%. Many are averaging returns of 50% to 60%. It would be prudent to say that in times of deep downturns the system may not deliver the promised returns but it will hold its own and will definitely outperform the market.

One options trader that has mastered this three-pronged trading technique has decided to share his knowledge of the system by writing an e-book on its methodology. Borrowing from that quote about options being a great wealth producing tool he has aptly titled his work: STOCK OPTIONS: THE GREATEST WEALTH BUILDING TOOL EVER INVENTED. In it he details the step by step methodology of this trading technique and gives an exhaustive series of sample trades covering several months of transactions. It shows the effectiveness of the system in an up market, down market and horizontal market using only one ETF stock. To this day the writer continues to use only one or two ETFs in all his options trades and he includes a web page that shows his current and actual trading results month by month on an ongoing frequency.

 Posted by at 3:22 pm  Tagged with: , , , , , , , , ,

Finding or Creating Your Own Options Trading System That Works

 Option Trading  No Responses »
Nov 292009
 

Stock Options are wonderful! This clever derivative of the equities market has to be one of the most ingenious inventions of modern times. For the trader who can learn how to win at trading options, there are many luxuries in life that can be experienced.
Success in options trading requires a consistent approach for long-term success. This statement is not meant to be some grandiose, idealistic comment made by some ‘trading theorist’. Rather, it is a statement born out of the hard knock and success experiences of the author and many other long-term, successful trader contemporaries.
A “consistent approach” to options trading can also be called a “trading system”, or an “options trading system” in this case. The term “trading system” is not necessarily confined to a series of computerized “black box” trading signals. A trading system could be something as simple as “buy an option on a stock in an uptrend that breaks the high of the previous bar after at least two days of pull back down movement that make lower lows.” A trading system is simply an organized approach that takes advantage of a repeated pattern or event that brings net profits.
Since an Option is a “Derivative” of the stock you must derive your options trading system from a stock trading system. This means your trading system must be based around actual stock price movement. That said, your trading system doesn’t need to work for all stocks it just has to work for certain types of stocks, certain volatility of stocks and certain price levels of stocks – So focus your trading system on certain stocks that have price behavior that is predictable to the net results you wish to abstract from a stock.
You can develop a trading system, a trading approach, and a trading methodology by identifying a price movement pattern (or lack of price movement pattern) or some event that occurs on some sort of regular basis. This means you can trade price behavior patterns on price charts such as: traditional chart patterns, trends, swings, pivot points, boxes – or you can trade events that motivate stock price such as earnings runs, post earnings runs, stock splits, or seasonal factors. Bottom line to make the maximum profit in options trading you want your stock to move in your favor fast and you want it to move far. Just a relatively small movement in the price of a stock can double your money in options!
There are so many different strategies and combinations that you can trade with options. You can buy calls and puts for directional trades. You can employ call spreads and put spreads to trade directional movements with a buffered risk, and profit. You can sell or purchase spreads to receive the credit of the premium decay by options expiration. You can trade straddles and strangles if you expect a big move but are not sure in which direction. You can also get into ratio back spreads, condors, and butterflies. And if you’re really feeling crazy you can sell ‘naked’ options (just better use a stop loss or you’ll end up like one of my old trading buddies who ran an account to $20 million then gave it all back selling naked options.) You can go to cboe.com for more information on options trading.
Directional options trading systems are the best. Keep it simple, buy calls for and upside trade or buy puts for a downside trade. But this means you need a directional stock trading system in order to trade directional options.
Here are a couple of different approaches for directional systems:
Develop an options trading systems that trades the swings in stock price movement. There are many good swing trading systems available today. We suggest you obtain one. Bottom line with swing trading is that you want to swing trade with the trend. Options brokers these days have advanced order technology that will allow you to enter swing trades based on the price movement of the stock so you don’t have to watch this stock all day. That huge advancement to swing trading options.
Swing trade the day bars. Most swing trading systems are based on daily bars on the stock price chart.
Swing trade the Intra Day Bars! Their other fantastic systems based on intraday charts that pin point swing trading entries.
Develop an options trading system that trades three to six month trends. This is where the big money is. Trading the large trends is where many are able to place larger sums of money to develop their net worth.
Develop an options trading system that trades pivot points. Pivot point trading is arguably the best way to trade options, because price action usually is explosive, and happens quickly in our direction when a trade works.
This is good because you can use shorter-term options and leverage yourself a little better. And it’s also nice you can make great gains in five days to four weeks on average so time decay issues become less of a worry.
There are many different directional trading methods you could use to trade options. You need to pick one, work it, and never use more than 10% options position size per trade on small accounts 1% to 5 % max position size on larger accounts. This methodical way of money management trading options is the fastest way to potentially rapid account growth, helping you avoid needless setbacks.

 Posted by at 3:57 am  Tagged with: , , ,

Understanding Stock Option Trading

 Option Trading  No Responses »
Nov 292009
 

Stock option trading has always given the traders additional work of not just predicting correctly the security’s price. They also must choose the best option for trading strategies. But most stock traders incorrectly figure they can easily make the change from stocks to options.In order to make systems on option trading an on-going basis, the trader needs to fully understand the major differences between the stock and the option trading.With the options buying, time is the enemy. If each day passes without enormous changes, the value of the premium time will decline. In order to solve it, the value of the time premium should be declining more rapidly as the option reaches its expiration. The significant factor that option traders need to evaluate is the amount of time that is probable for a move in the stock to take place. Buying close to a stock’s low may be supportive as a strategy, but if the trader is obliged to wait too long in an options position, the loss of time could more than devastate a reasonable gain in the original stock.Most of the options analysts will inform traders to focus on the volatility assumption within the different options pricing model, for the reason that is the only aspect the standard options model assumes to be indefinite. The reason behind this is the Efficient Market Theory notion that stock prices cannot be predicted in the future. There are a lot of times traders that are way too positive in the scenarios they input, and a way to restrain this is by applying one of the following two tactics: The traders who want to make use of more conservative tactics can either choose to buy one strike further in-the-money or they can buy the next expiration month further out than they think they will be needing.Understanding all the commodity features and other option contracts is very important before investing into those kinds of contracts. You ought to know in advance the rules so that you can guesstimate whether you are competent of handling your obligations.The option trading systems and the futures which have been explained are inherently risky and very intricate. The investors need to recognize that this alternative does not pertain to all of them. In the case of investing, you need to know from the start how much you can lose and earnestly evaluate if you can afford to lose it in the analysis of your financial resources and the investment goals. You need to share your different conclusions with a broker in order to discuss if your decisions are sound and wise. If you think that you are most capable, willing, qualified and you have all the reasons to invest in the option trading and the futures, you also need to settle on the extent to which you wish to proceed, trusting your own intuition after consulting with a broker.

 Posted by at 3:57 am  Tagged with: , , , , , , , ,

Online Option Trading – Make Your Fortune Today

 Option Trading  No Responses »
Nov 282009
 

Online option trading fortune has become one of the most popular money makers among all forms of financial instruments available on the investment floor. Its high profitability has increased its popularity and is now considered the most common and preferred investment tool. Option trading online amounts to trillions of dollars being exchanged daily. This has made it the largest option trading market, larger than all other markets combined. Ironically this is the only option trading market that does not have a trading floor.
Online option trading deals with the trading of currencies. It is a big financial market where different national currencies are bought and sold in relation with other currencies. The trading in this market does not involve actual commodities like shares. The market exist base on the network of banks and the World Wide Web. The fact that it is easily accessible via the net and is thus available has been a big boost to the continuous growth.
Online trading offer the opportunity for option trading fortunes. You can increase your capital investment a hundred times over from the comfort of your home or offices if you have the necessary know how. Your cost of participation is very low as you don’t need expensive ads or to promote anything online. You don’t need a warehouse or even an office. All you really need is the knowledge and an internet connection.
The internet contains countless companies and site offering different online trading services. E-books, training, simulations are just a few. They even offer to sell specialized software or trading strategy. To begin you need to open a bank account with a broker, many of them are available on the net and some require as low as $400 as minimum balance. A key strategy is to buy when currency is at rock bottom, the prices rise almost by the seconds and that’s when you sell. Good forecasting, timing and business sense is needed.
Trading online does not necessary mean you have to watch the market every hour. You can set a desired selling price and the system would only sell if that price level is determined. These are obtained using specialized software. Like any venture with possibility for high returns their also exist a high possibility to lose too. The market is very volatile. It is up to the investor to seek how to minimize his risk and losses.
To be quite successful, speak to professionals, join forums and brush up your knowledge on economics. Listen to news around the globe as this affects the price variations. You must also have very sound money management. Know when to cut your losses.

 Posted by at 3:09 pm  Tagged with: , , ,
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